Bitcoin Pullback: Trouble Ahead for 2025 Bull Market?

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Bitcoin derivatives data shows no evidence the 2025 bull run is over despite BTC price sliding to lower support levels below $115,000.

BTC options signals caution but not an outright bearish market shift.

Bitcoin ETF outflows and futures premiums show neutral-to-bearish sentiment, but no panic.

Bitcoin fell to $114,013 on Friday, causing over $200 million in liquidations of leveraged bullish positions and hurting sentiment in BTC derivatives markets.

Investors appear to be losing confidence after three straight weeks of failing to hold prices above $120,000. But does this mean the bull run is over?

Under normal conditions, Bitcoin monthly futures trade at a 5% to 10% premium compared to spot prices to cover the longer settlement period. The current 6% premium is the lowest in four weeks, showing weaker demand for leveraged bullish positions.

While this is not strongly bearish, it signals reduced confidence despite high institutional demand.

Bitcoin can’t decouple from stocks amid tariff tensions
Bitcoin is trading only 7% below the $123,182 all‑time high from July 14, but gold remains near $3,350, unchanged from two weeks earlier. Many Bitcoin investors expected the “digital gold” asset to move independently as the global trade war escalated, yet the opposite happened.


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