Rising Tensions Signal Eventful Weekend in Ongoing War

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The analysts at The Kobeissi Letter believe the next few days will be crucial for the outcome of the war.

It was precisely a month ago when the US and Israel joined forces to carry out military strikes against several Iranian sites, including killing the nation’s Supreme Leader, in what was advertised as a relatively quick operation.

Although Trump bragged several times that the US is ahead of schedule and the war would be over soon, there’s still no clear end in sight after Iran rejected the ceasefire proposal. Here’s why the next 48 hours could be pivotal, though.

Eventful Weekend Ahead
Aside from the lives taken, infrastructure destroyed, and relationships crashed, the war has taken a big toll on the world’s economies, different assets’ prices, and, of course, the cost of living. One of the most volatile of those assets has been, expectedly, oil.

After a massive rollercoaster, including double-digit gains to multi-year peaks and subsequent, similarly volatile retracements, oil prices closed on Friday at just over $100/barrel. At the same time, the S&P 500 is at a multi-month low, while the US 10Y Note Yield is close to 4.5%

According to the analysts at The Kobeissi Letter, Trump “must contain the bond market immediately.” They expect a “highly volatile weekend” before the legacy futures markets open late on Sunday.


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