BTC at $80K: The Key Level Bulls Must Watch

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A steady move above $80,000 could return significant Bitcoin capital to profit, but resistance near $84,569 remains a major hurdle.

Bitcoin’s $80,000 level has emerged as a major threshold as the crypto asset attempts to break out of the current bear market. Several technical and on-chain measures are converging around this level.

At the same time, the traditional realized price has become less relevant because of the large amount of illiquid BTC supply, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost.

$80K Breakout Test
In his latest post, Darkfost noted that Bitcoin’s market capitalization has been on the rise. At the cycle peak, the figure even reached $1.75 trillion. Because coins bought more than 10 years ago are now largely considered illiquid, they represent a much smaller share of the market capitalization than Bitcoin purchased more recently. This makes it necessary to adjust the realized price by weighting it according to the amount of capital invested.

Using this capital-weighted approach, the analyst calculated a Bitcoin cost basis of approximately $79,600. That figure places the average invested capital near the $80,000 mark, which makes the level a significant barrier for the crypto asset at present.

Darkfost explained that this area more clearly identifies where the average invested capital reaches neutrality. A daily close above $80,000, followed by a weekly close above the same level, would represent a strong signal. Such a move would also return a large portion of BTC’s invested capital to profit.

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